University of Colorado at Boulder

Forecasting violence in sub-Saharan Africa: What can we learn?

July 12, 2017.    Category: Research

Frank Witmer
Graduate Student

The question of how to reduce conflict most effectively is paramount. Prominent articles in science journals argue that we must stop climate change since it is creating a volatile environment where resource scarcities make farming and pastoralism harder, which, in turn, leads to more competition, sparking more violence. Our research published in the Journal of Peace Research1 suggests that policy makers who rely on this argument may indeed succeed in reducing future violence, but not nearly as much as if they devoted their efforts to improving governance and fair distribution of benefits.

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